By: Double E
NFL Week 10
The 3-3 streak is over! We ended the first half of the season with a bang, going 5-1 and bringing our record on the year to 35-19.
Lots of close calls last week, but nevertheless we pulled out the big week and pushed our winning total to over 13 units (assuming you’ve wagered the same on every recommendation). That’s a massive total to head into the second half of the season with. The second half of the season promises lots of drama, as playoff races get tighter, and teams search for new playmakers to emerge with the injury epidemic continues to decimate rosters.
Here are my favorite plays this week!
Spreads+Totals (2-1 last week, 15-12 for the year)
1. Falcons -3.5 at Saints (-110): These are two teams moving in opposite directions. The Saints are in full tank mode, losing 7 straight, trading away their star corner and firing their coach. In come the Falcons, winners of 5 of their last 6 and finding a groove offensively, scoring 26 or more in those 5 wins. While I believe the Saints will play more inspired football, The Falcons are simply playing too well to drop one to their inferior division opponent.
2. Eagles – 7.5 at Cowboys (Even): Another divisional matchup with teams moving in opposite directions. The Cowboys are 0-3 at home this year with Dak as their starting quarterback, and now they have to start Cooper Rush. Lamb is banged up and this defense is a shell of what is was when Dan Quinn was leading them last year. The Eagles are flying high and they should have their full complement of weapons with Brown recovering from the injury he suffered against the Jags and Goedert making his return.
3. Rams -1 vs Dolphins (-110): This is more of a gut feel than anything standing out statistically, as the Dolphins have looked great offensively since Tua returned, scoring 27 points in both games he’s played post-concussion. The Rams are on a heater though, winning three straight and making the all-important decision to not be sellers at the deadline. I trust McVay in this spot to be able to generate more points with his offense, and the Rams getting just enough stops to pull out the win.
Props (3-0 last week, 20-7 for the year)
1. Jalen Hurts anytime TD (Even): I like the Eagles to dominate the Cowboys, and I like Hurts to benefit. He’s scored a rushing touchdown in 3 straight and four of five, demonstrating an increased emphasis on running the ball since the Eagles bye week. I like Hurts to punch one in again this week against a depleted Cowboys defense.
2. Deandre Hopkins under 4.5 receptions (-130): This is a great spot to fade Hopkins coming off a big week against the Bucs last week. We’ve touched on how Pat Surtain can lock down any receiver in the league, and this week Hopkins has to feel the wrath. In what should be a low scoring game, I like the Chiefs to pound the rock with Hunt, and dink and dunk to Kelce, to move the ball offensively.
3. Darnell Mooney over 59.5 receiving yards (Even): This is the Darnell Mooney people envisioned when the Bears drafted him. In only nine games with Cousins, Mooney has already set a new personal best in touchdown receptions. His 588 receiving yards is 45 yards away from his second-best season ever. This week he gets a Saints defense that just traded away its top cornerback, and there’s potential for Mooney to see more work with London and Pitts being questionable all week.